But then look around and tell me what the role of Flash in main stream web is today? Mainly Videos and Rich Ads. Other than that everything is pretty much HTML. How much of Adobe's site is done in Flash? OK I'm keeping the Flash gaming sites away for a moment as it’s a different genre altogether. Will get there in a moment.
The new web mantra is HTML5 (I haven't completely understood or mastered the capabilities of HTML5 yet) using which I can apparently completely ignore flash and create flash like graphics and interactivity. HTML5 also supports native audio/video player. As all modern desktop and mobile browsers become HTML5 compliant, the need for flash to play videos is going to be no more. As we know iPhones and iPads don’t support flash but I don’t think they have missed videos that much. Note that iPhone significantly increased the usage of mobile internet in spite of not having Flash. But yeah of course the Nickelodeon site doesn't work on it. But is iPhone/iPad meant for users of Nickelodeon?
So is Flash going to die? No. Flash is the number one choice for gaming sites on the web and they are all waiting to be on mobile too and that’s where Adobe should put its money on. I’m sure that the Flash game developers are peeved with Apple for not giving them a chance to be on iPhone web. iPhone/iPad are amazing gaming devices themselves on the app space. Android supporting Flash will give them the right edge over iPhone to be an ultimate internet gaming device. That means Farmville is going to be on Android. I’m sure that Zynga has already started working overnight to bring out mobile versions of their games by the time Froyo comes out. Facebook users and others who play these flash based games are truly going to root for Android.
I think Flash on Android is going to give a new opportunity for the Flash game developers to be on mobile but it wont be the game changer for Android phones.